Lets look at calculation and try to understand
the numerical effects of EB1C on EB2 backlog.
Source_1
|
DHS
Year book (therein Table 7)
|
Link_1
|
|
Data_Point_1
|
2017 All Countries (EB1) Priority
Workers (including Spouse+Children)=41,060
|
Source_2
|
State
Department Annual Report
|
Link_2
|
|
Data_Point_2
|
2017 INDIA (all EB1) Priority Workers
(including Spouse+Children)=13,082
|
Now Lets look
at EB1 A+B+C Numbers from Source_1:
EB1A
|
EB1B
|
EB1C
|
||||||||
NEWARR
|
AOS
|
NEWARR
|
AOS
|
NEWARR
|
AOS
|
Total
|
||||
Primary
|
903
|
4915
|
14
|
2557
|
60
|
8494
|
16943
|
|||
Spouse
|
691
|
3761
|
11
|
1956
|
46
|
6499
|
12964
|
|||
Children
|
594
|
3235
|
9
|
1683
|
39
|
5591
|
11153
|
|||
total_eb1_world
|
41060
|
|||||||||
total_eb1c_world
|
20730
|
|||||||||
Ratio =>
total_eb1c_world / total_eb1_world = 0.50
Applying the
SAME ratio to 2017 EB1 Numbers for INDIA
i.e.=>
EB1C_INDIA / EB1_INDIA = 0.505
EB1C_INDIA =
0.50 * EB1_INDIA
EB1C_INDIA =
0.50 * 13,082 (Data_Point_2) = 6605
Do Similar
calculation using all the year books.
9 years of
aggregated numbers consumed by EB1C = 70,000 green cards.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Now looking
at PERM Labor filed by INDIA
(Source OFLC
PERM statistics year wise - google )
FY2009 11387 (remaining
after last bulletin)
FY2010
28930
FY2011
31273
FY2012
30278
FY2013
20930
FY2014
35092
FY2015
45,670
Based on
above, In the absence of EB1C India, EB2 INDIA dates would have easily moved to
2012 as of end of 2018 and would have continuously move (albeit slowly due to
increasingly number of PERM labor every year).
And Since
Every passing year PERM numbers have increased and will continue to increase ,
So argument " getting rid of EB1C is not helpful since there is tooooo
much of backlog " is flawed just because, it doesn't take into account
time already SPENT in the backlog by people with priority dates from past 9
years, how can we count all backlog in one bucket since 2009 till 2018.
Backlog can
never clear in one shot, it’s a moving train which has been halted by EB1C
.
There are
multiple flaws in US Immigration system. EB1C is one of them.
No other
route gives Green card so easily in BULK to under-deserved Employees.
In the
absence of EB1C , Priority dates would move and would have moved and can
maintain more or less at an average of 6 years of wait for people with priority
date up to 2012 and 10 years for 2013-2017.
But Due to
Abuse of EB1C, EB2/3 dates will NEVER EVER MOVE, regardless.
- with or
without EVC,
- with or
without WITCH EB2/3,
- with or
without F2 OPT / CPT EAD
Now based on
2804+2804 for EB2+EB3 INDIA minimum annual allocation,
Clearing
backlog from 2009 will take 2 years i.e. by 2020
Clearing
backlog from 2010 will take another 6 years i.e. by 2026
Clearing
backlog from 2011 will take another 6 years i.e. by 2032
Clearing
backlog from 2012 will take another 6 years i.e. by 2038
Clearing
backlog from 2013 will take another 4 years i.e. by 2042
and so
on.
----------------------------
while EB3 has
plenty of opportunities to be EB2 and it’s a natural progression just by virtue
of working hard.
No way in the
heaven EB2/EB3 can naturally & honestly become EB1C, unless he uproots
& moves internationally.
